The interplay of trust and justice: Multivariate analysis on postconflict attitudes toward the Colombian Revised Peace Agreement of 2016

Details

Supervisors

Yzerbyt, Vincent

Faculty

Faculté des sciences économiques, sociales, politiques et de communication

Degree label

Master de spécialisation en méthodes quantitatives en sciences sociales

Abstract

enThis thesis explores public attitudes toward Colombia’s Revised Peace Agreement (RPA) using data from the 2021 MAPS survey. While support for the RPA is known to be fragmented, this study examines whether these attitudes are structured and how they relate to trust, conflict experience, and demographics. Three multivariate methods, Multivariate Correspondence Analysis (MCA), Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA), and Redundancy Analysis (RDA) are applied to uncover latent patterns. Findings show that trust in reintegrated ex-combatants is the strongest and most consistent predictor of support for contested RPA components, such as political participation of former FARC members. MCA further reveals distinct attitudinal clusters linked to socio-structural profiles and conflict exposure. The study contributes to peacebuilding research by highlighting the role of targeted trust-building in sustaining public support. It also offers a comparative methodological framework for analyzing complex attitudes in post-conflict societies.